President Obama’s electoral college edge

 

 

President Obama’s electoral college edge

Posted by Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake on September 12, 2012 at 6:30 am

 

President Obama maintains an edge in the race for 270 electoral college votes, according to a state-by-state Fix analysis, even as national polling suggests the race remains tight between the incumbent and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.

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Since we last analyzed the national map in July, and despite the fact that Romney has picked his vice president and both parties have held their nominating conventions, there’s been no polling data or spending decisions compelling enough to move any state from its current rating of toss-up, lean Obama or lean Romney.

That means that Obama can count on 196 solid electoral votes and another 41 — in New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Michigan — that lean his way for a total of 237. Romney has 170 solid electoral votes and 36 — Arizona, Missouri and North Carolina — leaning his way for a total of 206. Continue reading “President Obama’s electoral college edge”

9 deep(ish) thoughts on the new Washington Post-ABC News poll

 

9 deep(ish) thoughts on the new Washington Post-ABC News poll

Posted by Chris Cillizza on September 11, 2012 at 12:19 pm

 

The big headline out of this morning’s Washington Post-ABC News poll is that the presidential race remains an absolute dead heat among those likeliest to vote in eight weeks time.

But, beneath that headline there are all sort of fascinating — and occasionally contradictory — data points in the poll that are worth further examination.  We tackle nine of them below.  You can sift through all the data from the poll right here if you want to do a bit of exploring on your own.

One quick note: Our thoughts below are in no particular order other than the order to which they occurred to us as we looked through the poll. And, away we go! Continue reading “9 deep(ish) thoughts on the new Washington Post-ABC News poll”

Romney campaign unveils first TV ad for swing-state Wisconsin

By Meghashyam Mali – 09/09/12 06:19 AM ET

Mitt Romney‘s campaign on Sunday unveiled its first television ad for Wisconsin, targeting President Obama on the economy.

The ad is the latest in a series titled “A better future” which are set to air in key battleground states.

The video opens with a clip of Romney from his Tampa, Fla. GOP convention address.

Romney campaign unveils first TV ad for swing-state Wisconsin. Continue reading “Romney campaign unveils first TV ad for swing-state Wisconsin”

AFGE Action Network

IMPORTANT: You may view this email using your home email on your personal computer, smart phone, or other electronic device. BUT, this information should not be downloaded using government equipment, read during duty time, or sent to others using government equipment, because it involves taking an election related action and could be a violation of the Hatch Act.

AFGE Action Network

Dear AFGE Brothers and Sisters

The conventions have shown us two very different visions for our country.

The choice that makes sense for working families is clear.

We’ve now heard from two candidates with two very different visions for our country: Continue reading “AFGE Action Network”

Part 3: In Presidential Race, Both Sides Woo Federal Workers

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Part 3: In Presidential Race, Both Sides Woo Federal Workers

Government workforce a key vote in 2012 election

By: Matt Laslo // August 1, 2012
 Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney stands with Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell as he campaigns at Electronic Instrumentation and Technology in Sterling, Va., Wednesday, June 27.
AP Photo/Charles Dharapak
Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney stands with Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell as he campaigns at Electronic Instrumentation and Technology in Sterling, Va., Wednesday, June 27.

Virginia is one of the most hotly-contested states in this year’s presidential election, which makes political outreach to federal workers in the region all the more important. Some Democratic campaigns think they have the votes of most federal employees in the bag, but it’s more complicated than one might think.

There’s been no shortage of Republican rhetoric about shrinking the government — even eliminating entire agencies — during this year’s presidential race. Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney epitomized the argument during a speech on the campaign trail after he won the Michigan GOP primary in February. Continue reading “Part 3: In Presidential Race, Both Sides Woo Federal Workers”

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